Fat, drunk and stupid is no way to go through life, son

BEST PICTURE
Will Win: NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Of all the pictures that are nominated (and I have seen them all) this one was the most cohesive throughout and aside from one story point that I totally disagree with was the most enjoyable filmgoing experience
Should Win: NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
This movie cannot be denied
Got Robbed: INTO THE WILD
A great movie from top to bottom (script, directing and acting) that received almost universal critical acclaim yet got snubbed by the Oscars for some odd reason. Maybe they hate Sean Penn.

BEST DIRECTOR
Will Win: Joel & Ethan Coen (NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN)
After having to basically flip a coin to see who gets credit for waht on their fiolms, the brothers are finally nominated as a duo and they truly deserve to win for making a truly great film.
Should Win: Joel & Ethan Coen (NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN)
See above.
Got Robbed: Sidney Lumet (BEFORE THE DEVIL KNOWS YOU'RE DEAD)
Lumet showed just how awesome a director he still is with this movie and just how much so many of today's directors can learn from him. If you haven't seen this movie you are doing yourself a disservice. Besides how many more chances will there be to recognize Lumet's genius? The man is a billion years old!

BEST ACTOR
Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis (THERE WILL BE BLOOD)
I hated There Will Be Blood, I hated it with a passion but there is no denying Day-Lewis' performance. It is the single most intense performance by any actor since...well since Day-Lewis' last role.
Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis (THERE WILL BE BLOOD)
What did ya think I was kidding about how good he was?
Got Robbed: Denzel Washington (AMERICAN GANGSTER)
The movie was astoundingly uneven but Washington gave a great performance, bringing a level of understated malevolence that I didn't think Denzel had in him.

BEST ACTRESS
Will Win: Ellen Page (JUNO)
The Academy loves to think of themselves as "discoverers of talent" and what better way to show that then by giving a big award to a little snot nosed punk? Now I loved Juno and though Page was wonderful in it but if we are being honest it wasn't an Oscar worthy performance. If they wanted to give Page some credit they should have nominated her for Hard Candy; now that was a great performance!
Should Win: Laura Linney (THE SAVAGES)
Linney is one of the most underrated actresses in Hollywood and this was a part that seemed to be tailor made for her talents.
Got Robbed: Angelina Jolie (A MIGHTY HEART) & Keri Russell (WAITRESS)
A Mighty Heart wasn't very good but Jolie gave a strong performance that deserved recognition and should have been given the nom over Cate Blanchett in Elizabeth: The Golden Age.
Russell was a revelation in Waitress and if the Academy wanted to give the lead actress in a small independent comedy-drama a nomination then Russell was the one who deserved it.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will Win: Javier Bardem (NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN)
Bardem transformed himself into the years best villain as well as one of the best bad guys in film history. And he did it all while sporting one of the most ridiculous looking hair styles in the world.
Should Win: Javier Bardem (NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN)
Javier Bardem ftw.
Got Robbed: Ben Foster (3:10 TO YUMA)
Foster's deranged sidekick with distinctly homo-erotic undertones was was the best thing about this movie

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will Win: Ruby Dee (AMERICAN GANGSTER)
At 83 this is Dee's first nomination and it will likely be her last so I see her being the beneficiary of the "recognize 'em before they die" award that would have gone to Hal Holbrooke if he wasn't competing with Javier Bardem.
Should Win: Amy Ryan (GONE BABY GONE)
Ryan kicked massive amounts of ass as the lousy mother of an abducted child and was the best of this bunch of nominees.
Got Robbed: Can't think of any other performances this year that were deserving.

BEST ANIMATED MOVIE
Will Win: RATATOUILLE
Like all of Pixar's movies this is really good but not the best of the year or even of the nominees.
Should Win: PERSEPOLIS
Based on a really cool graphic novel, watching Persepolis is like having the comic come to life. It is an amazing film.
Got Robbed: THE SIMPSON'S MOVIE
How the hell does Surf's Up get nominated but the Simpson's Movie doesn't? Did the Academy think they were nominating Happy Feet or something? And why is this category only allowing three nominees while all the others have four? This is just dumb.

BEST DOCUMENTARY
Will Win: WAR DANCE
Of all the nominees this is the most hopeful so I can see the Academy wanting to reward that.
Should Win: NO END IN SIGHT
This movie makes my blood boil and should be required viewing for every US citizen. It's been years since I've had as visceral a reaction to a film like I had for this one.
Got Robbed: KING OF KONG
My favorite movie of 2007 and deserving of as many accolades as it can possibly get. The Academy really fucked up by not nominating this movie.