Fat, drunk and stupid is no way to go through life, son

The world is collectively atitter with anticipation of tonight's 457th Oscar Awards Show and as a public service I will give my predictions on who will win as well as who I think actually deserves an award:

BEST ACTOR

Will Win: Philip Seymour Hoffman, CAPOTE
Should Win: Philip Seymour Hoffman, CAPOTE

BEST ACTRESS

Will Win: Reese Witherspoon, WALK THE LINE
Should Win: Felicity Huffman, TRANSAMERICA

BEST DIRECTOR

Will Win: Ang Lee, BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Should Win: Ang Lee, BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN

BEST PICTURE

Will Win: BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Should Win: CRASH

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Will Win: George Clooney, SYRIANA
Should Win: Matt Dillon, CRASH

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Will Win: Michelle Williams, BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
Should Win: Michelle Williams, BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN

BEST SONG

Will Win: Travelin Thru, TRANSAMERICA
Should Win: Its Hard Out Here for a Pimp, HUSTLE & FLOW

BEST ANIMATED FILM

Will Win: WALLACE & GROMIT IN THE CURSE OF THE WERE-RABBIT
Should Win: HOWL'S MOVING CASTLE

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Will Win: KING KONG
Should Win: KING KONG

BEST DOCUMENTARY FILM

Will Win: MURDERBALL
Should Win: MARCH OF THE PENGUINS

Now go out and place your bets.